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Smart Blackjack For The Casual Player
by The GameMaster
Not everyone wants to put in the time to become a professional
Blackjack player; I don't understand it, but I do accept it. But, with
a little bit of practice, even the casual player can take a big bite out
of the casino's edge. It can translate into hundreds, even thousands of
dollars in winnings and enable you to enjoy all the casinos have to offer
at little cost.. You can do it with the Ace-5 count.
No card-counting technique will allow a player to win all
the time, it's a statistical impossibility. But by reducing the house
edge considerably, a player can expect to have winning sessions of play.
The average casino edge in a 6-deck game is about .5% for a player who
plays perfect basic strategy. By using the Ace-5 count and a reasonable
betting spread to take advantage of favorable situations, that edge could
be cut in half, to about .25%. There is not another game in the casino
(except, perhaps video poker) with that low an edge for the house.
This count works because it recognizes the value the Ace
holds for the player and the value the 5 holds for the dealer. The Ace
is important because it's the key component of a Blackjack or "natural"
which pays 3 to 2 on a bet. Without any Aces in a deck, the house has
an average 2% edge over the player. The 5 is important to the dealer because
it helps to make their "stiff" hands -- 12 to 16 -- into good
hands; 17 to 21. Therefore, as fives are played, they are no longer available
to the dealer, so this is a good situation for the player. On the other
hand, as Aces are played, they are not available to the player, so that's
a good situation for the house. Since there are an equal number of each
in a deck ( or a 6-deck shoe), they can be tracked and their ratio evaluated
for betting purposes.
The Ace-5 count is simple. As Aces are played, count them
as minus (-) 1, and as 5's are played, count them as plus (+) 1. The two
are added together to obtain a "running count" and that is used
to determine your bet. You must begin the count on the first hand after
the shuffle and keep track of the count from round to round. This count
will tell you how much to bet on the next hand.
For example, if on the first round two Aces are played and
no 5's come out, the count for betting the second round is minus 2. Let's
say that on round two, four 5's come out, but no Aces appear; the count
for betting the third round is now plus 2 (-2, +1, +1, +1, +1 = +2). Your
count for betting the next round is now plus 2. Remember, you are adding
and subtracting the point value for each Ace and 5 as it appears, regardless
of whose hand it's in. Don't forget to count any the dealer has, as well.
To see if you understand this technique, try to calculate
this sequence A, 5, 5, A, A, 5, 5, A, 5. Remember, +1 added to -1 = 0.
The answer is at the end of this article.
For the Ace-5 count to be effective, you must play proper
basic strategy. If you think you should stand with a hand of Ace-7 against
a dealer's up card of 9, you don't know basic strategy. If you don't know
if you should hit or double Ace-2 against a dealer's 4, you don't know
basic strategy. I cannot overemphasize this point; knowing basic strategy
is the key to winning at Blackjack. 'Nuff said.
As each round is finished and prior to the next deal, bet
the number of units corresponding to the count as shown below. The dollar
amount of your "unit" depends upon how much you're willing to
risk. My advice is to try this on a computer program at home before venturing
real $$$ at the casino.
| Ace-5 Running
Count |
Bet Size in
Units |
| Minus or Zero |
One |
| Plus 1 |
One |
| Plus 2 |
Two |
| Plus 3 |
Three |
| Plus 4 |
Three |
| Plus 5 |
Four |
| Plus 6 |
Four |
| Plus 7 or more |
Five |
An easy way to practice this count is to purchase four decks
of inexpensive cards, set aside one deck and remove all the Aces and 5's
from the other three decks. Shuffle the extra Aces and 5's into the one
deck you set aside; this will give you a deck of 76 cards: a regular 52-card
deck enhanced with 12 Aces and 12 fives. Now, turn the cards from this
"super" deck over one at a time and count each 5 as +1 and each
ace as -1 while ignoring the other cards. Keep a running cumulative count
and when you're finished, the count should be 0 if you have done it correctly.
Keep at it until you feel comfortable with the system and then start turning
the cards over two at a time and count the pairs. For example, a King
and an Ace are -1; a 5 and an Ace are 0; two 5's are +2. Counting in pairs
is the "secret" we card counters use in keeping track of the
cards, and since our count is cumulative just like this one, we can count
200 decks of cards if we have to.
Because you're only tracking two cards, the count isn't likely
to get very high in a six-deck game, but if you're playing at single deck,
this is actually a fairly powerful count. But, if you can stand the boredom
and stick with the disciplined betting schedule, you will reduce the house
edge. At the Casino Queen in E. St. Louis, IL, the house edge for perfect
basic strategy play is just .33%. This technique will reduce that to about
.10%. If a player uses the betting schedule above at a $5 table, his or
her average bet will be about $6. At a rate of 60 hands an hour, s/he
will put $6 X 60 or $360 in play each hour. With an expected loss of .10%,
the long term cost of playing Blackjack there will run about 36 cents
an hour. In the short term, a player will win or lose much more than that
in any given session, but if s/he uses the guidelines above for several
hundred hours of play, the results will likely be a loss of about 36 cents
per hour. This technique does not completely overcome the house edge,
but it does come close. Consider this: the average player is operating
at a 2% disadvantage at the same game. Using the figures above, this player
can expect to lose about $7.20 an hour; after several hundred hour of
play, that's thousands of dollars! If you play at a casino with a cash-back
"player's club", or if you are good at getting comps for rooms,
travel, dinners, etc., the Ace-5 count can be quite profitable for you.
A word about bankroll requirements. Since this technique
does not give you an edge over the house, you will eventually lose all
the money you bet in these situations since we are just postponing the
inevitable for a while. But, with the freebies, the fun and the entertainment
value, it might be a small price to pay. I would start with 50 top bets,
so if you bet from $5 to $25, you should have a bankroll of $1250 set
aside for this. It should be money you can afford to lose, because until
you learn a complete counting system, that's what will happen and you
can't play well when you're betting the rent money. Again, 'nuff said'.
An added benefit of learning the Ace-5 count is that you
will see how easy it is to learn card-counting, so you may want to learn
a complete point count such as the Plus/Minus which will give you a long
term edge over the house. But in the meantime, use your play at the table
to get as much back from the casinos as possible and most of all, have
fun!
Answer to the count: You should arrive at a count of +1.
Here's how I count that sequence in my mind: (Another good point here;
I identified another counter in a casino recently because she was moving
her lips as she counted. Most casinos don't like any kind of counter,
so don't tell them that's what you're doing.)
| Ace-5 Running
Count |
Bet Size in
Units |
| A |
M1 |
| 5 |
Even |
| 5 |
One |
| A |
Even |
| A |
M1 |
| 5 |
Even |
| 5 |
One |
| A |
Even |
| 5 |
One |
NOTE!
M1 - I don't use the word minus, just 'M'. It's one less syllable to deal
with.
Even - I don't use '0' but you can, if you wish.
One, I don't use 'Plus 1' because 1 is always a positive number and it
saves a syllable.
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